[opendtv] Re: UHF reception
- From: Craig Birkmaier <craig@xxxxxxxxx>
- To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2008 08:36:38 -0500
At 7:13 PM -0800 11/22/08, Dale Kelly wrote:
I agree with you but there are agendas within agendas.
You may recall that a number of years ago, on this forum, I suggested that
the major broadcast networks were preparing for the demise of OTA
broadcasting*...
* = At that time Craig was the major detractor of my analysis; what a
difference a day makes!
Hmmmmm...
Can you save me the trouble of looking back
through the archives to see where I disagreed
with your position about the future of OTA
broadcasting?
We have often disagreed about one thing or
another, but I can't remember a time in recent
history when I was not completely in agreement
about the move by the conglomerates to devalue
the OTA franchise and move to paid distribution.
Here's a bit of news...
I just wrote my last column for Broadcast
Engineering. I was informed this week that my
monthly column will be replaced by vendor
supplied editorial...
Here's the last few paragraphs I submitted for my
swan song - I would note that BE may not be
willing to print this...
:-(
The Future of DTV: So Long and Thanks for All the Beer
For more than a decade I have been warning the
broadcast industry of the pending obliteration of
their franchise at the hands of a real world
hyperspatial expressway, the Internet. In the
U.S. about 10 billion videos are viewed monthly
via the Internet. You Tube uploads 13 hours of
content every minute.
This has not been lost on the media conglomerates
who provide the high value content that has
allowed over-the-air broadcasting to remain
viable in a world dominated by the multi-channel
distribution oligopoly - cable and DBS. Virtually
all prime time TV content can now be accessed
online, on demand. What's more, the commercial
load in the online versions is substantially
lower than that in the broadcast versions, or you
can buy commercial-free versions of these
programs from iTunes or Amazon.
The real problem with over-the-air TV is that
"appointment TV" is all but dead. Program
adjacency, once the foundation of prime time
scheduling is now meaningless in a world
dominated by channel surfing and web surfing.
Broadcasters can still pull in large audiences
for live events, but some of the most important
content franchises are beginning to abandon
broadcast TV in favor of cable, which uses the
revenue from monthly subscriber fees to outbid
the broadcast networks for high value content.
The College Football Bowl Championship series
will move to ESPN in 2011.
Unfortunately, most broadcasters have done little
to prepare themselves for the day that they move
into third place in the content distribution
chain behind the multi-channel services and the
Internet. If it makes you feel better the
multichannel services are not likely to survive
the real DTV transition either.
On demand and downloaded content via the Internet
is where the Future of DTV lies. Cable may remain
in the game as a provider of broadband pipes, but
they and the telcos, will face new competition in
this area. Competition that may turn the TV white
spaces into the next big digital broadcast medium.
The most important attribute of over-the-air
broadcasting is that it is a wireless medium. In
a world where wireless communications has all be
eliminated the need for a wired telephones one
can see a large opportunity for a modernized
wireless digital content delivery infrastructure.
The Mobile DTV standard, currently nearing
finalization by the ATSC, offers a glimmer of
hope to TV broadcasters. But there are many
obstacles along this path to the future.
First and foremost is access to content.
Simulcasting of the primary programming of a
station is not likely to grow the audience, and
there are many unanswered questions about the
rights to carry this content in a mobile service.
Live sports could be a significant mobile TV
franchise, but the economics may not work out for
delivery of this content as an advertiser
supported free-to-air service. Broadcasters could
focus on the creation of local content; however,
economic viability is tenuous here as well.
The most promising aspect of the transition to
Internet-based DTV is the opportunity for the
craft of content creation to flourish once again,
just as the craft of brewing has been revitalized
in recent years. YouTube relies heavily upon
content created by independent producers - you
could call it the mom and pop video business. As
we shift to search engines to find content of
interest, the playing field will be leveled a bit
in favor of independent producers, who are now
being squeezed out by the big media
conglomerates. This is already happening with
musicvideo can't be that far behind.
My 42 years around television has been an
incredible experience. With 30 consecutive NAB
conventions under my belt, it's time to try
something new. But retirement is NOT an option.
So I am embarking on a new career.
In January, The Swamphead Brewery will begin the
production of high quality craft beers in
Gainesville, Florida. As the Head Brewer I look
forward to the challenges of building a new
business creating beers filled with compelling
content.
For those who want to be part of the future of
digital television I suggest a similar path. To
borrow a phrase from our mass media pop culture -
It's the content stupid!
Regards
Craig
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