[opendtv] Re: Spectrum Crisis is 'Science Fiction,' NAB's Study Concludes
- From: Craig Birkmaier <craig@xxxxxxxxx>
- To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Wed, 27 Apr 2011 07:28:27 -0400
Deborah McAdams writes:
He also points out that voice calls could be more efficiently
handled as packet-based Internet Protocol rather than
circuit-switched traffic. Offloading mobile Internet traffic to
Wi-Fi fixed locations is also expected to rise, and therefore
increase capacity. Onyeije quotes American Tower Corp. chief James
Taiclet as saying the company's 38,000 tower sites are at about 50
percent capacity.
Hmmm...
Sounds familiar, doesn't it Bert?
This is exactly the argument I made over the weekend that you rejected.
"AT&T and other wireless operators could double the amount of
capacity they supply with current spectrum by investing more in new
wireless equipment on existing cell towers," Taiclet is quoted as
saying.
There is no question that when LTE is deployed in all of the spectrum
that the Telcos are now, or will soon be using, that data capacity
will double, maybe even quadruple.
Then what?
Demand is increasing at a far faster pace.
I'm not trying to justify the approach the FCC is taking, but it is
obvious that the demand for wireless broadband is going to keep
growing rapidly for the rest of this decade.
Thus the NAB's argument is baseless, as what Onyeije is advocating
only solves the problem for the next 3-4 years. It is much like the
infamous statement by Bill Gates that PCs will never need more that
512 KB of RAM.
"In the final analysis, the impending spectrum crisis is not real,"
he said. "In fact, it includes all the elements of a bestselling
science-fiction novel. First, the story seamlessly merges reality
and fantasy. Second, the tale includes dire predictions about the
future if, and only if, the worst-case scenario were to happen
concerning a long list of variables. Third, the account ignores all
simple solutions in favor of a dramatic conclusion.
PURE PR BUNK.
Of course this is not the first time the NAB has resorted to such
tactics to protect the goose that lays the golden eggs.
Regards
Craig
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