[opendtv] Re: (No Date: Tue, 28 Sep 2004 10:30:37 -0400

  • From: "John Willkie" <johnwillkie@xxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: <opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Thu, 7 Oct 2004 19:18:05 -0700

So, you think pay TV is the future of TV.  That's funny.

I'm not even sure that USDTV is the future, let alone the present.  You are
convinced.  That's funny, too.

Note, you ignored my point, which is a consistent pattern of yours.  Real
hard to get a conversation going with you: the soap box gets in the way.
Maybe I should go back to attack mode.  At least that way, I get some
satisfaction.

John Willkie

-----Original Message-----
From: opendtv-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:opendtv-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]On Behalf Of Bob Miller
Sent: Thursday, October 07, 2004 1:16 PM
To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: [opendtv] Re: (No Date: Tue, 28 Sep 2004 10:30:37 -0400


The UK has been at it for two years as of November 1st. They may hit six
million receivers by the end of this year in a nation of 25 million
households or 25% penetration. Digital penetration in the UK is over 60%
with OTA leading the way.

If the US had been growing at this rate from day one (we have had six
years) we would be at 75% OTA alone now not taking into account the
acceleration we are witnessing in the UK this last year.

That is if we had been pushing a DTV transition with receivers that work
like they do in the UK or even better from day one OTA alone could have
already hit 85% IMHO. Receiver prices in the US would be lower than the
already low prices found in the UK, there would be even more
manufacturers, more digital content and all those datacasters who bit
the dust would still be in business. Many of those ventures would be
offering "ancillary services" and free or almost free receivers as USDTV
is now ($19.95). And they would have been doing this for a number of
years. We suggested that we would give away free receivers in our
testimony to Congress in 2000. We could have done then what USDTV is
doing now and it would have been affordable then with COFDM receivers.

There would be other USDTV's, broadcasters would not be listening to
Emmis but trying to catch up with Sinclair.

That is things would be different.

As they will be now that we have an overpriced but minimally workable
8-VSB 5th gen receiver about to arrive.

Bob Miller

Manfredi, Albert E wrote:

>Bob Miller wrote:
>
>
>
>>I think the UK is an example of a successfully DTT
>>transition and they are still trying to pick an
>>analog shutdown date. The latest is 2012 or so.
>>
>>
>
>And EVEN in that example, successful as it might be,
>does not measure up to what the NAB would want
>before they declare success.
>
>Have 85 percent of OTA users, or 85 percent of
>*all* Brit TV viewers, bought an integrated DTV
>set or a DTV STB of some sort? Will they have by
>2012? The answer I believe is no.
>
>Check out Berlin again. With some 90+ percent of
>TV viewers using cable, just what percentage of
>those cable users are digital?
>
>So even in Berlin, with a "successful" DTT
>transition, they would not have met the NAB's
>criterion.
>
>Bert
>
>
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