Tom Barry wrote: > I'm probably the one that has talked most on this list of > networks possibly going direct to premium providers over the > last couple years. And I do believe that they could legally > do that as affiliate contracts expire. This possibility can > be used each time those affiliate contracts are renegotiated. Agreed. So the question in my mind is, do the networks take this approach because they feel they don't have any control of their OTA distribution pipe, because of these affiliate agreements caused by the national cap, or do the networks really not want their content on FOTA TV, no matter how the OTA pipe is structured? In European and Aussie Freeview systems, the networks seem interested in retaining those FOTA TV eyeballs. Are they just lagging behind the US? Maybe. In other words, let's not assume that the affiliate model is an absolute must for OTA TV. Does that change anything in the networks' interest in the FOTA network? > A network without broadcasters is just another national content > provider/broker competing with USA channel or other cable > channels, albeit with slightly more current viewers and name > recognition. And most of these other cable channels are owned > by the same few parent companies anyway. > > So I don't think the networks WANT to kill OTA. They just want > that eventuality covered and also used as a bargaining ploy. > They want to be protected in the event OTA gradually fails but > still have a lot (but maybe declining) of money invested in it. It seems to me unquestionable that the networks want to be able to compete directly with the cable nets, as just another content provider. Why wouldn't they? Or even possibly transmit their content on the Internet. I have no problem at all with that. They could do that, while also having access to a FOTA medium that they control. Possibly, evetually, when the entire country is covered by IP broadband wireless offering lots of Mb/s to every user, the OTA pipe will be totally obsolete. We're not there yet. I'm also not sure about whether the mobility feature will be a big item, but that's just one aspect of having the OTA medium. Bert ---------------------------------------------------------------------- You can UNSUBSCRIBE from the OpenDTV list in two ways: - Using the UNSUBSCRIBE command in your user configuration settings at FreeLists.org - By sending a message to: opendtv-request@xxxxxxxxxxxxx with the word unsubscribe in the subject line.