[lit-ideas] Re: What to do about Iran: the Brookings Strategy

  • From: "Lawrence Helm" <lawrencehelm@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: <lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Sat, 4 Feb 2006 07:43:45 -0800

You are going against a UN edict.  The wise people of that day decided it
was a bad thing to allow nuclear weapons in everyone's hands; so they
created the non-proliferation edict.  They wanted to keep the nuclear club
small.  The nations other nations most fear in that regard are Rogue states
with unstable governments, especially states that promote terror.  A nuclear
weapon in the hands of terrorists is the worst possible scenario.

The Rogue state which is the major supporter of terrorist organizations
today is Iran.  It's Hezbollah is rivaling Al Quaeda.  Iran has as I posted
in one of my notes supplied Hezbollah with a great array of missiles and
other weapons.  Allowing this rogue state to acquire nuclear weapons is the
nightmare scenario of the UN members who created and signed the
non-proliferation pact.  

And of the nations who do have Nukes, the two most dangerous from that
standpoint are Pakistan and North Korea.  They haven't bombed anyone yet,
but they have supplied their nuclear technology to others.  It is too much
to ask to expect other nations to trust that Rogue states won't supply nukes
to terrorists.  And, of course, terrorists want to bomb someone with them.

Pakistan is safe now, but it has a substantial Islamist population.  It is a
matter of great concern as to what will happen when Musharaff is no longer
President.

Lawrence

-----Original Message-----
From: lit-ideas-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:lit-ideas-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
On Behalf Of John McCreery
Sent: Saturday, February 04, 2006 5:17 AM
To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: [lit-ideas] Re: What to do about Iran: the Brookings Strategy

On 2/4/06, Lawrence Helm <lawrencehelm@xxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:

> This just doesn't make sense to me.  If we don't destroy their nukes, they
> will go into production.  If we leave them alone they will develop nukes.
> If we create sanctions we will punish the Iranian citizens as we did in
Iraq
> and Iran will still develop nukes.
>

And, so? Yes, they could (1)....(2)....(3).... add your own
catastrophe. But, Pakistan and India could mutually incinerate South
Asia, China could bomb Taipei or take out a Pacific Fleet battle
group, the North Koreans could attack Tokyo,  the Russians could nuke
Debuque....They haven't. Why? Because, despite a lot of nut cases all
around, having nuclear weapons appears to have a seriously sobering
effect on those who have them, as in, "Gulp, if we could do this to
them....they could...."

Still doesn't answer the question, if we can have them, why can't
they? After all, a religious nut as President, covert operations in
all sorts of other countries, even overt military aggression....Nope,
that one doesn't work. Iran hasn't invaded anybody recently.

--
John McCreery
The Word Works, Ltd.
55-13-202 Miyagaya, Nishi-ku
Yokohama 220-0006, JAPAN
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