Iran's got Iraq one way or the other, so we may as well have them friend as foe. Afghanistan has been lost for years. It's just ripening now, that's all, and the horrendous drug trade, basically their only crop, is financing the Taliban along with the war lords. My intuition tells me that Ahmadinejad talks a good line the way Reagan talked a good line to give himself credibility and A's just paving the way for the mullahs who are a lot more reasonable than we give them credit for in our paranoid rants. They may not be a democracy, but they're politically savvy and crafty. Certainly they're not insane, which is what they would have to be to drop a bomb on Israel. The consensus is that the Iranian people are passive and even supportive of the U.S. Of course attacking their country will probably change that. The Saudis I'm having a harder time with because they're allied with the U.S. more or less, and we've managed to get ourselves reviled in the M.E. One of OBL's thin gs is that the U.S. has to get out of Saudi Arabia. I have a less clear understanding of that end of it and how it could be handled. The Sunnis are the majority yet they're concentrated in Indonesia, Pakistan. In Pakistan Musharif is basically walking a tightrope. ----- Original Message ----- From: Lawrence Helm To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx Sent: 9/12/2006 11:59:33 PM Subject: [lit-ideas] Re: Five Years Ago You know, Irene I discussed these matters in a note to Eric yesterday. I didn?t think it was too long for you -- not your anti-Bush and Leftist maunderings, of course, but the approach toward Iran. Vali Nasr, purported by some to be the greatest authority on political Islam implied that if we could reach an agreement with Iran, that could go a long way toward solving the Iraq problem. Iran has weight with Syria and if the two of them decided to stop the insurgency from their countries that would be a major help. Then we would need the Saudis to influence the Iraqi Sunnis and we?d be home free. Nasr said that in Iraq the Shiites trust Iran the most, the Sunnis trust the Saudis the most and the Kurds trusts the US the most. [a paraphrase from a CSPAN 2 interview with Vali Nasr in regard to his new book The Shi Revival.] Lawrence . From: lit-ideas-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:lit-ideas-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Andy Amago Sent: Tuesday, September 12, 2006 8:08 PM To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx Subject: [lit-ideas] Re: Five Years Ago Well, how about make peace with Iran and solve the Palestinian thing. That would be huge steps forward. Iraq is dead in the water, and Iran can be a powerful ally in settling them down. From what I can tell, Iran seems to want to enter the 21st century. That's the motivation behind the desire for nuclear energy. At this point, we don't have a choice, and now Afghanistan is on the brink of going the way of Iraq. Of course we can always invade Iran and create thousands and tens of thousands more jihadists and suicide bombers. That's probably what they will do. Did you ever wonder, Lawrence, that there are no leftists among the neocons that put this fiasco together? Want to reconsider your opinion of leftists? And to think, for making such a mess, Wolfowitz was given a job running the IMF. Does that not amaze you?