[guide.chat] middle east syria's crisis

  • From: vanessa <qwerty1234567a@xxxxxxxxx>
  • To: "GUIDE CHAT" <guide.chat@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Fri, 29 Jun 2012 20:56:32 +0100

Syria crisis: Assad vows to 'annihilate terrorists' - live updates
? Dozens killed in new alleged massacre in Douma
? Russia proposes changes to Annan's transition plan 
? Crowds gather in Tahrir Square ahead of speech by Morse

Syria's President Bashar al-Assad said he would "annihilate terrorists" during 
an interview on Iranian state TV. Photograph: AP
4.25pm: Egypt: President-elect Mohamed Morsi is due to give his speech in 
Tahrir Square in about 35 minutes. Sherine Tadros of al-Jazeera has posted a 
photo of the enormous crowds:

4.02pm: Syria: Ameer, a Barzeh activist who we spoke to earlier (see 3.11pm) 
has highlighted more YouTube footage of a helicopter gunship firing over 
Damascus.

3.32pm: Syria: Russia's foreign minister Sergei Lavrov (pictured) said he 
regretted that Iran has been excluded from Kofi Annan's crisis talks on Syria 
this weekend.

In a statement on the foreign ministry's website, Lavrov said Iran was excluded 
because of "insurmountable objections" from the US. Saudi Arabia has also been 
excluded from the talks, in a move that was thought to be aimed at placating 
Russian objections. But Lavrov said he also regretted that Saudis would not be 
taking part.

It described the convening of the meeting as a positive move and hoped 
mechanisms would be agreed on a ceasefire and the withdrawal of troops and 
rebel forces from cities which could create a "favourable atmosphere" for a 
political transition.

3.23pm: Bahrain: The interior minister, Lieutenant-General Shaikh Rashid bin 
Abdulla Al Khalifa, has been visiting Britain and ? as always ? British 
officials have been full of praise for the tiny Gulf kingdom. At least, they 
have if you believe the Bahraini government's account of the minister's visit.

Lord Howell, minister of state at the foreign office, allegedly described 
Bahrain as "a model country" and "the first country to pursue democracy in the 
region". For good measure, he allegedly made clear that the situation in 
Bahrain should not be linked to "the so-called Arab Spring".

Nigel Evans MP, a deputy speaker of the Commons, and Baroness Scotland, the 
attorney-general, also allegedly enthused about the "reforms" introduced by 
King Hamad.

These, and other overwhelmingly favourable comments, appear in a report of the 
minister's visit posted in Arabic on the Bahraini police website.

Bahrain's government has achieved some notoriety for making up or distorting 
quotes to give an impression of international approval for its policies. 
Previous victims have included Ban Ki-moon, the UN secretary-general, Navi 
Pillay, the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, William Hague, the British 
foreign secretary, and Amnesty International.

3.11pm: Ameer, a resident in the northern Damascus suburb of Barzeh, describes 
witnessing a helicopter gunship firing close to the capital for the first time.

Speaking to the Guardian via Skype he said:

I saw a military helicopter over the farm areas of Barzeh and nearly over 
Harasta. It was on a high altitude. Once it reached that position it fired 
missiles. Three missiles each time. One time it fire five missiles. It was on 
Harasta and the farm areas of Barzeh.

He said videos of the incident tallied with what he saw at the time.


Ameer added: "There were couple of videos uploaded from Harasta and Douma. That 
is exactly what I saw."

There are no reports [of casualties]. This is the first time I've seen a 
helicopter firing in this area. Here in Barzeh we hear lots of explosions from 
the eastern suburbs of Harasta, Douma, Arbeen. But this is the first time I've 
seen by my eyes a helicopter launching missiles.

I was with my father and mother. Mum was very frightened. These sounds were 
very loud. She suggested we go down to the shelter in my building. [But] it 
wasn't firing at us.

It was nearly three or four kilometres from me.

I feel that what I am doing is not enough and my activity on the internet is 
not enough. We should do something more than that. Like fighting back.

Asked how he could fight back he said: "That's the problem that's why I feel 
useless."

We are planning to published audio of the interview, disguising Ameer's voice, 
later today.

Earlier this week a UN report [pdf] said the use of helicopter gunships was 
increasing the militarisation of the conflict.

It said: "Helicopter gunships and artillery have been used in the shelling of 
entire neighbourhoods believed to be anti-Government, even during the presence 
of observers".

2.06pm: Syria: US Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has backing 
from an usual quarter - Kafranbel in Syria's north-west Idlib province.


The latest message from the banner makers in the town calls for an early 
election in the US, and claims the Obama is not doing well.


This is not the first time placards in the town have expressed support for the 
Republicans. Last year a Kafranbel banner read "we miss Bush's audacity".

Romney has criticised Obama for failing to stand up to Russian backing for 
Assad.

Last week he told Fox News: "This president has not communicated strength and 
resolve around the world. We need to make it very clear to Moscow that their 
interference in Syria poses a grave threat to the national interests of 
America, and to free people around the world."


1.42pm: Here's a roundup of developments so far today:

Syria

? Activists say dozens have been killed in attacks on opposition strongholds 
near Damascus. Most of the casualties are said to have been in the town of 
Douma, where video posted on the internet purports to show the shrouded bodies 
of up 20 members of the same family said to have been stabbed by government 
militia.

? Russia has proposed changes to Kofi Annan's plan for a unity government in 
Syria, according to Reuters. Annan's action group on Syria is holding 
preliminary discussions in Geneva today, ahead of the main meeting tomorrow.

? Video has emerged showing two senior officers captured by the Free Syrian 
Army. One of the men was reported to have been abducted by an armed gang, 
according to state media. Another video claimed to show a brigadier general 
announcing his defection to the opposition.

? President Assad, in an interview with Iranian TV, said his country has a duty 
to "annihilate terrorists" and that Syria won't accept outside interference 
even from its allies.

? Efforts to evacuate civilians and wounded from Homs failed again when a 
rescue team could not enter affected areas, the International Committee of the 
Red Cross said in its latest update.

Egypt

? Large crowds have gathered in Tahrir Square where president-elect Mohamed 
Morsi is due to make a speech in a few hours. After much confusion about 
Morsi's swearing-in ceremony, the official news agency says it will take place 
tomorrow morning, before the supreme constitutional court.

? Field Marshal Hussein Tantawi, head of the ruling military council, will keep 
his post as defence minister in a new cabinet to be formed by president-elect 
Mohamed Morsi, a member of the military council has said.

12.56pm: Egypt: Large crowds have gathered once again in Tahrir Square to await 
a speech by president-elect Mohamed Morsi. The video below gives a aerial view 
of the square during today's midday prayers.


Morsi's speech is still several hours away, though. In remarks quoted by AP, 
his spokesman, Yasser Ali, said the president-elect wants to stand with the 
thousands who have been in the square for over a week to express concern about 
the power grabs.

"He wants to confirm that people are the source of his power," Ali said. "He 
wants to show unity with his people over issues of the transition, which is now 
ending."

12.47pm: Syria: Ameer, a resident in the northern Damascus suburb of Barzeh, 
reported seeing a helicopter gunship attacking an area north of the capital.

He tweeted:

There's a military helicopter flying and I can see it shelling al-Qaboun or 
Harasta. Up to this moment it shelled six missiles. #Damascus

Earlier activists posted footage of the wreckage of an attack helicopter that 
had been bought down in the north-western province of Idlib.


It was purported to have been filmed in the countryside around Aleppo.

12.26pm: Syria: Reuters has more on the latest alleged massacre in Douma. It 
says the members of two entire families (not one as mentioned earlier) were 
killed.

Video published on YouTube showed rows of shrouded bodies lining what activists 
said was a street in Douma. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said 41 
people had died in the city, while other activists placed the toll at 59 or 
higher.

"Douma, the morning of June 29, 2012. This is the massacre committed against 
the people of Douma. God is our saviour. Two whole families are here (among the 
dead) ... God help us," said the man filming the scene.

One man held up the limp body of a girl, her pink blouse drenched in blood.

"This is another massacre of the massacres by Assad and his secret police," he 
said. "This is another massacre of the massacres by the international 
community, of all the great nations that have conspired against our people."

Douma has been under siege for weeks by security forces loyal to President 
Bashar al-Assad.

Activists say rockets have been raining down on the city for days amid heavy 
fighting between rebels and government forces. Video showed homes whose roofs 
had caved in and clouds of dust rising from crumbling buildings.

12.10pm: Syria: Iran's Press TV has published a fuller account of the Assad 
interview.

Here are some extracts

What took place in Libya is not the model to settle Syria [crisis] and no plan 
or model except a 'national model' will work in Syria.

The West expresses support for the Annan plan on the one hand, while on the 
other hand, they seek a plan to overthrow [the government]. This is the same 
[approach of] double standards and political hypocrisy.

If al-Qaida attacks a country that the US doesn't like, they are good, but if 
they attack the interests of Americans or their allies in a certain region, 
then they are bad; this is the American logic.

11.33am: Syria: A local activist group in Douma has another unverified account 
of what it claims was massacre in the town.

The Syrian Revolution Coordination Committee of Douma City said a family of 10 
was killed after "fierce shelling".

After continual shelling that lasted for hours, the regime troops perpetrated a 
massacre by killing a family of 10 while looking for a shelter. The total 
number of victims is 51 and more than one hundred civilians were injured. Some 
peaceful citizens were extra judicially executed by Assad's forces in their 
homes.

The regime army stormed the city in the early morning amid intensive gunfire 
followed by mortar shelling. The city was in a state of real war in which all 
kinds of weaponry were used. Helicopters hovered at low altitude and shelled 
the resident's houses randomly. Consequently, dozens of houses got burned and 
others were destroyed ... Many families were in a state of horror inside 
shelters and had to keep there because of the heavy shelling.

Scores of horrific videos purport to show the victims of the alleged attack. 
They are impossible to corroborate.

11.05am: Syria: Activists say dozens of people have been killed in attacks on 
opposition strongholds near Damascus. Most of the casualties were in the town 
of Douma, where local activists posted video purporting to show the shrouded 
bodies of up 20 members of the same family said to have stabbed by government 
militia [warning: graphic content].

The Local Coordination Committees and the British-based Syrian Observatory for 
Human Rights and other activists say at least 40 people died in shelling in the 
area. At least two more were killed Friday morning.

10.47am: Syria: Earlier we mentioned that video purporting to show the capture 
of Brigadier General Mounir Shleibi and Major General Faraj al-Maqt could not 
be independently verified (see 9.27am).

A reader has pointed out that state media reported the abduction of Faraj 
al-Maqt, after clashes in the suburbs of Damascus. It gives his rank as 
lieutenant general.

10.32am: Syria: The opposition blog the Hama echo, has a collection of 15 
videos purporting to show the defection of brigadier generals over the last few 
months.


Photograph: hayfestival.com/REUTERS
10.27am: Libya: The Carter Centre ? founded by former US president Jimmy Carter 
? is sending observer teams to Libya to monitor the elections scheduled for 7 
July, the Tripoli Post reports.

At the invitation of the High National Elections Commission (HNEC), they will 
observe the electoral process ? though not throughout the entire country.

In light of security considerations, which prevent deployment of observers in 
some areas of the country and which restrict their movements in others, the 
centre's mission will be limited in nature and will not offer a comprehensive 
assessment of the electoral process.

However, there are encouraging signs regarding women's participation in the 
poll:

In total, there are 625 women standing in the July 7 elections, 540 of whom 
represent political parties; 85 are standing as independent candidates. The 
electoral commission states that 80% of eligible voters have registered, 
totalling 2.7 million people. Of these, 45% are female.

10.18am: Syria: The Syrian government has deployed around 170 tanks near the 
Turkish border, a commander from the Free Syrian Army told Reuters.

"The tanks are now at the infantry school. They're either preparing to move to 
the border to counter the Turkish deployment or attack the rebellious (Syrian) 
towns and villages in and around the border zone north of Aleppo," Sheikh told 
Reuters by telephone from the border.

He said the tanks were mostly from the 17th Mechanised Division.

Meanwhile, a video has emerged purporting to show a brigadier general 
responsible for a tank division, announcing his defection, according to 
journalist Zaid Benjamin:

Video: Commander of the Strategic Tanks Warehouses Brigadier General Methqal 
al-Betesh al-Naimi announces defectionyoutube.com/watch?v=-XCGnC?

? Zaid Benjamin (@zaidbenjamin) June 28, 2012

10.00am: Egypt: Mohamed Morsi will be sworn in as president of Egypt at the 
supreme constitutional court on Saturday morning, the official news agency has 
announced.

The swearing-in procedure became a matter of dispute because the court had 
earlier dissolved parliament (where an Egyptian president would normally be 
sworn in). There were objections that by agreeing to hold the ceremony at the 
court, Morsi would be accepting the court's controversial decision to dissolve 
parliament.

Morsi is due to deliver his first presidential speech at Cairo university after 
the ceremony, Ahram Online reports.

He is also expected to address a rally in Tahrir Square today, after Friday 
prayers.


Yesterday, Morsi met leaders of the Egyptian Islamic movement at the 
presidential palace.

9.50am: Syria: Russia has proposed changes to Kofi Annan's plan for a unity 
government, according to Reuters.

International mediator Kofi Annan said on Friday he was "optimistic" that 
ministerial crisis talks on Syria being held on Saturday would produce an 
acceptable outcome.

"I think we are going to have a good meeting tomorrow (Saturday). I am 
optimistic," Annan told Reuters TV in Geneva after Russia proposed changes to 
his plan for a national unity government. The talks would end "with an 
acceptable result", he said.

His spokesman Ahmad Fawzi said: "The talks are on course and the preparatory 
meeting is going ahead this morning (Friday)."

US secretary of state Hillary Clinton and Russian foreign minister Sergei 
Lavrov are due to meet in St Petersburg today in a bid to iron out deep 
differences over the transition plan, according to AP.

US officials are adamant that the plan will not allow President Assad to remain 
in power at the top of the transitional government, but Russia insists that 
outsiders cannot dictate the ultimate solution or the composition of the 
interim administration.

Annan's plan would allow some members of the current regime to stay in place 
but would exclude those deemed to be counterproductive or destructive to the 
transition process, which would be Syrian-led, according to diplomats familiar 
with the proposal. It does not explicitly bar Assad, but the US and other 
western powers who will participate in the conference in Geneva say that is 
implicit.

The difference in interpretation could prove its unraveling and Clinton hopes 
to press Lavrov on the point at their meeting and over dinner following a 
gathering of Asia-Pacific foreign ministers that Lavrov is hosting in St 
Petersburg.

9.27am: Syria: Our favourite reader, Brown Moses, has been going through a 
video purporting to show two senior military commanders captured by the Free 
Syrian Army.

Brigadier General Mounir Shleibi of the Palestine Intelligence Branch and Major 
General Faraj al-Maqt of Syrian Central Command.

Both men had black eyes. The video can't be independently verified, but as 
Brown Moses notes "the makers of the video have gone to great lengths to ensure 
both men can be clearly identified, filming close up of their ID documents."

Earlier this week state media claimed that a man had been abducted and 
portrayed as a defected colonel by an armed group.

#Syria: Ahmad Said: Armed Group abducted me, photographed me as a defected 
colonel

? SANA English (@SANA_English) June 25, 2012

In March Human Rights Watch accused armed opposition groups of committing a 
series of human rights abuses including kidnap and torture.

8.59am: Syria: While Robert Fisk reckons Assad could have another two years, 
Reem Maghribi, former editorial director of Syria's only English-language 
daily, predicts that he will fall within six to 12 months.

She told Bloggingheads TV that the regime will be removed without outside help. 
The Syrian opposition want arms from the outside world, but not military 
intervention, she pointed out.


She said Nato air strikes would be impractical because potential military 
targets are so close to civilian areas. "The opposition can do it on their own 
slowly but surely," she said.

8.32am: (all times BST) Welcome to Middle East Live.

Here's a roundup on the latest developments and analysis:

Syria

? Kofi Annan's action group on Syria is to gather in Geneva today as a leaked 
copy of his principles for political transition were published. A copy of the 
document, published by UN Report, does not mention Bashar al-Assad but hints at 
his removal. It says:

The government of national unity would exercise full executive powers. It could 
include members of the present government and the opposition and other groups, 
but would exclude from government those whose continued presence and 
participation would undermine of the transition and jeopardize stability and 
reconciliation.

? President Assad said his country has a duty to "annihilate terrorists" and 
that Syria won't accept outside interference even from its allies. In an 
interview recorded with Iranian TV he said: "The responsibility of the Syrian 
government is to protect all of our residents. You have a responsibility to 
annihilate terrorists in any corner of the country."And in what appeared to be 
a reference to Russia he said: "We will not accept any non-Syrian, non-national 
model, whether it comes from big countries or friendly countries. No one knows 
how to solve Syria's problems as well as we do."

? Hopes of a political solution to the Syrian crisis suffered a fresh blow when 
Russia insisted it would not endorse an internationally backed plan for a 
political transition that would require President Bashar al-Assad to surrender 
power. Russia's foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov, said in Moscow: "We will not 
support and cannot support any meddling from outside or any imposition of 
recipes. This also concerns the fate of the president of the country, Bashar 
al-Assad."

? The US and Russia are putting together a deal to allow Assad to remain leader 
for at least two more years, because of anxiety about oil routes via Syria, a 
source told the Independent's Robert Fisk. The unnamed source, said to be close 
to the negotiations, is quoted as saying:

We are talking about two fundamental oil routes to the West ? one from Qatar 
and Saudi Arabia via Jordan and Syria and the Mediterranean to Europe, another 
from Iran via Shia southern Iraq and Syria to the Mediterranean and Europe. 
This is what matters. This is why they will be prepared to let Assad last 
another two years. They would be perfectly content with that. And Russia will 
have a place in the new Syria.

? But a deal to oust Assad would suit US and Russian interests, writes Simon 
Tisdall.

Obama, facing a tough re-election battle this autumn and with his domestic 
record assailed from all sides, could use a big international win...

It would defuse criticism from American interventionists about US inaction. It 
would also help secure the stability of Iraq, on which so much American blood 
and treasure was spent in the past decade. It would prevent the spooked, 
volatile leaders of Turkey, a valued Nato ally, sliding into some kind of 
regional conflict.

Russia's interest dictates a settlement in Syria that sustains its influence on 
its Arab ally, keeps its Mediterranean port facilities open, and maintains its 
business and arms sales links. As Assad loses ground to the opposition, these 
interests appear threatened ....

The scene is set for a Clinton-Lavrov meeting that could still ring the death 
knell for the Assad regime. Maybe they can pull it off; maybe they cannot. 
Whatever the outcome, democrats will note that Obama and Putin have something 
else in common: a deep wariness of the politically unquantifiable Syrian 
opposition and a pragmatic disinterest in the wishes of the Syrian people.

This backroom deal, if it happens, has little to do with building a democratic 
Syria. It has everything to do with fixing a problem that is upsetting the 
world order as decreed from Washington and Moscow.

? No one can imagine how a transition would work, argues Syrian watcher Joshua 
Landis. Writing on his blog Syria Comment he says:

We are unlikely to see any big breakthroughs anytime soon. Russian authorities 
must be getting nervous about Assad's strategy and staying power ? all the same 
what can they do but try to create avenues for a Syrian soft landing? Damascus 
is unlikely to take their nudging seriously for some time. The high-powered 
conference is probably meaningless at this point, as Russia will most likely 
continue to insist on "loyal opposition" joining in a transitional government 
packed with Assad loyalists ? a non-starter for both Assad and opposition 
figures.

? Efforts to evacuate civilians and wounded from Homs failed again when a 
rescue team could not enter affected areas, the International Committee of the 
Red Cross said in its latest update. Beatrice Megevand-Roggo, head of ICRC 
operations for the Near and Middle East, said an agreed pause in the fighting 
failed to be met.

Egypt

? Field Marshal Hussein Tantawi, the head of the ruling military council, will 
keep his post as defence minister in a new cabinet to be formed by 
president-elect Mohamed Morsi, a member of the military council has said. 
Major-General Mohamed Assar said: "What is wrong with that? He is the head of 
the supreme council of the armed forces, the defence minister and the commander 
of the armed forces."

Bahrain

? Prominent human rights activist, Zainab al-Khawaja, has been injured after 
police fired a tear-gas canister at her leg, according to witnesses. She was 
fired on at close range, said Yousef al-Muhafedha, a member of the Bahrain 
Center for Human Rights.

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