[geocentrism] Re: Fwd: The Threat of a Nuclear War

Dr Neville,
Thank you for the good information you bring on this forum.
According to Arnaud de Lassus (an expert military in geopolitics) the article 
below is the best synthesis of the political situation in our days.  However I 
believe it can be completed by stating that the descent of the US will happen 
with the ascent of Russia (who is a major threat for the so-called free world).
Marc V.

----- Original Message -----
From: Dr. Neville Jones
Sent: 13 avril 2007 08:15
To: geocentrism@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: [geocentrism] Fwd: The Threat of a Nuclear War

For your consideration -


  
http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=viewArticle&code=IVA20070409&articleId=5309

Iran: the Threat of a Nuclear War


by General Leonid Ivashov  

Global Research, April 9, 2007
Strategic Culture Foundation - 07-03-30


The US and its allies started the psychological preparation of  world public 
opinion for the possibility of using tactical nuclear weapons to resolve 'the 
Iranian problem'. The US propaganda machine is working hard to create the 
impression that a 'surgically precise' use of the nuclear weapon with only 
limited consequences is possible. However, this has been known to be untrue 
since the 1945 US nuclear strikes on Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
After the very first nuclear strike, it will become totally impossible to 
prevent the use of all of the available means of mass destruction. In the 
situation of a mass extermination of their nations, the conflicting sides will 
resort to whatever means they have without limitations. Therefore, not only the 
nuclear arsenals of various countries, including those whose nuclear status is 
not recognized officially, will come into play. No doubt, chemical and 
biological warfare (and, generally, any poisonous substances), which can be 
produced on the basis of minimal industrial and economic resources, will be 
used.
Currently, one can assert that peace and mankind are in great danger.
Consider the military-technical aspect of the situation. Practically, the 
operation's objective declared by the US - destroying some 1,500 targets on the 
territory of Iran - cannot be accomplished by the forces already amassed for 
the mission. This objective can only be met if tactical nuclear munitions are 
used.
An examination of the military-political aspect of the matter reveals even more 
significant facts. The attack on Iran is not planned to include a ground 
offensive. Strikes on selected military and industrial installations can cause 
a severe damage to the Iranian defense potential and economy Casualties are 
likely to be substantial, but not catastrophic from the military point of view. 
At the same time, it is impossible to gain control of the territory of a 
country as large as Iran without a ground operation. The planned offensive will 
entail a consolidation of forces not only in Iran, but also in other Muslim 
countries and among the public throughout the world. The support for the 
country suffering from the US-Israeli aggression will soar. Certainly, 
Washington is aware that the result will be not the strengthening but the loss 
of  US positions in the world. Consequently, the goal of the US attack against 
Iran has to be seen in a different light. The nuclear offensive must boost the 
use of nuclear blackmail in global politics by the US and fundamentally 
transform the world order.
Further evidence of the radicalization of the goals of the US and its allies is 
available. The early 2007 leaks, which exposed Israel's plans to use three 
nukes against Iran, were quite dangerous for a country in a hostile 
environment, but certainly they were deliberate. They meant that the decision 
on the character of Israel's activity had already been made, and all that 
remained to be done was to influence public opinion accordingly
The pretext for the operation against Iran does not appear serious. Judging 
from both the technical and the political points of view, there is no 
possibility of it developing nuclear weapons in the near future.
One must remember that allegations of Iraq's possessing weapons of mass 
destruction were used by the US as a pretext for the war against the country. 
As a result, Iraq was devastated, and the civilian death toll rose to hundreds 
of thousands, but no evidence for the claims had ever been discovered.
The really important question inot whether Iran is capable of making nuclear 
weapons. The only function of small stockpiles of nuclear weapons not backed by 
various forms of support is that of containment. The threat of a retaliation 
strike can stop any aggressor. As for attacking other countries and winning a 
nuclear war in the situation of a conflict with a coalition of major powers, 
this would require a potential that Iran neither has nor is going to have in 
the foreseeable future. The allegations that Iran can become a nuclear 
aggressor are absurd. Anyone having at least some theoretical knowledge of 
military affairs must understand this.
What is the real reason why the US is unleashing this military conflict?
The activities having consequences of global proportions can only be intended 
to deal with a global problem. This problem itself is by no means something 
secret - it is the possibility of a crash of the global financial system based 
on the US dollar. Currently the mass of  US currency exceeds the total worth of 
 US assets by more than a factor of ten. Everything in the US - industry, 
buildings, high-tech, and so on - has been mortgaged more than ten times all 
over the world. A debt of such proportions will never be repaid - it can only 
be relieved.
The dollar amounts on the accounts of individuals, organizations, and state 
treasuries are a virtual reality. These records are not secured by products, 
valuables or anything that exists in reality.  
Writing-off this US indebtedness to the rest of the world would turn the 
majority of its population into deceived depositors. It would be the end of the 
well-established rule of the golden calf. The significance of the coming events 
is truly epic. This is why the aggressor ignores the global catastrophic 
consequences of its offensive. The bankrupt 'global bankers' need a force major 
event of global proportions to get out of the situation.
The solution is already in the plans. The US has nothing to offer the rest of 
the world to save the declining dollar except for military operations like the 
ones in Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, and Iraq. But even these local conflicts only 
yield short-term effects. Something a lot greater is needed, and the need is 
urgent. The moment is drawing closer when the financial crisis will make the 
world realize that all of the US assets, all of its industrial, technological, 
and other potentials do not rightfully belong to the country. Then, it must be 
confiscated to compensate the victims, and the rights of ownership of 
everything bought for dollars all over the world - everything drawn from the 
wealth of various nations - are to be revised.  
What might cause the force major event of the required scale? Everything seems 
to indicate that Israel will be sacrificed. Its involvement in a war with Iran 
- especially in a nuclear war - is bound to trigger a global catastrophe. The 
statehoods of Israel and Iran are based on the countries' official religions. A 
military conflict between Israel and Iran will immediately evolve into a 
religious one, a conflict between Judaism and Islam. Due to the presence of 
numerous Jewish and Muslim populations in the developed countries, this would 
make a global bloodbath inevitable. All of the active forces of most of the 
countries of the world would end up fighting, with almost no room for 
neutrality left. Judging by the increasingly massive acquisitions of the 
residential housing for the Israeli citizens, especially in Russia and Ukraine, 
a lot of people already have an idea of what the future holds. However, it is 
hard to imagine a quiet heaven where one might hide from the coming doom. 
Forecasts of the territorial distribution of the fighting, the quantities and 
the efficiency of the armaments involved, the profound character of the 
underlying roots of the conflict and the severity of the religious strife all 
leave no doubt that this clash will be in all respects much more nightmarish 
than WWII.  
So far, the response of the world's major political players to the developments 
gives no cause for optimism. The inconsequent UN resolutions concerning Iran, 
the attempts to appease the aggressor who no longer disguises his intentions 
are reminiscent of the Munich Pact on the eve of WWII. The intense shuttle 
diplomacy focusing on all sorts of international problems except for the main 
one discussed above is also indicative of the problem. This is a usual practice 
on the eve of a war, aiming to provide for alliances with third-party countries 
or to ensure their neutrality. Such politics seeks to avert or soften the first 
strikes, which would be the most sudden and devastating ones.
Is it possible to prevent the bloodshed?  
The only efficient argument that might stop the aggressors is the threat of 
their total global isolation for instigating a nuclear war. The implementation 
of the scenario described above can be made impossible by a complete absence of 
allies for the US-Israeli tandem, combined with loud public protests in the 
countries. Therefore, these days a definite and uncompromising stance of 
country leaders, governments, politicians, public figures, religious leaders, 
scientists, and artists with respect to the prepared nuclear aggression would 
be an invaluable service to mankind.
The coordinated public activities must be organized with the promptness 
adequate to the war-time conditions. The forces of aggression have already been 
amassed and concentrated at the starting positions in the state of full combat 
readiness. The US military do not make it a secret that everything can be a 
matter of weeks or even days. There are indirect indications that the US will 
launch a nuclear strike on Iran already in April, 2007. After the very first 
nuclear blast, mankind will find itself in an entirely new world, an absolutely 
inhumane one. The chances to prevent this outcome must be used completely.

General Leonid Ivashov is the vice-president of the Academy on geopolitical 
affairs. He was the chief of the department for General affairs in the Soviet 
Union’s ministry of Defense, secretary of the Council of defense ministers of 
the Community of independant states (CIS), chief of the Military cooperation 
department at the Russian federation’s Ministry of defense and Joint chief of 
staff of the Russian armies. General Ivashof is a frequent contributor to 
Global Research.  

 Global Research Articles by Leonid Ivashov  



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