[geocentrism] Fwd: The Threat of a Nuclear War
- From: "Dr. Neville Jones" <ntj005@xxxxxxxxxxx>
- To: geocentrism@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Fri, 13 Apr 2007 13:15:13 +0100 (BST)
For your consideration -
http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=viewArticle&code=IVA20070409&articleId=5309
Iran: the Threat of a Nuclear War
by General Leonid Ivashov
Global Research, April 9, 2007
Strategic Culture Foundation - 07-03-30
The US and its allies started the psychological preparation of world public
opinion for the possibility of using tactical nuclear weapons to resolve 'the
Iranian problem'. The US propaganda machine is working hard to create the
impression that a 'surgically precise' use of the nuclear weapon with only
limited consequences is possible. However, this has been known to be untrue
since the 1945 US nuclear strikes on Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
After the very first nuclear strike, it will become totally impossible to
prevent the use of all of the available means of mass destruction. In the
situation of a mass extermination of their nations, the conflicting sides will
resort to whatever means they have without limitations. Therefore, not only the
nuclear arsenals of various countries, including those whose nuclear status is
not recognized officially, will come into play. No doubt, chemical and
biological warfare (and, generally, any poisonous substances), which can be
produced on the basis of minimal industrial and economic resources, will be
used.
Currently, one can assert that peace and mankind are in great danger.
Consider the military-technical aspect of the situation. Practically, the
operation's objective declared by the US - destroying some 1,500 targets on the
territory of Iran - cannot be accomplished by the forces already amassed for
the mission. This objective can only be met if tactical nuclear munitions are
used.
An examination of the military-political aspect of the matter reveals even
more significant facts. The attack on Iran is not planned to include a ground
offensive. Strikes on selected military and industrial installations can cause
a severe damage to the Iranian defense potential and economy. Casualties are
likely to be substantial, but not catastrophic from the military point of view.
At the same time, it is impossible to gain control of the territory of a
country as large as Iran without a ground operation. The planned offensive will
entail a consolidation of forces not only in Iran, but also in other Muslim
countries and among the public throughout the world. The support for the
country suffering from the US-Israeli aggression will soar. Certainly,
Washington is aware that the result will be not the strengthening but the loss
of US positions in the world. Consequently, the goal of the US attack against
Iran has to be seen in a different light. The nuclear offensive
must boost the use of nuclear blackmail in global politics by the US and
fundamentally transform the world order.
Further evidence of the radicalization of the goals of the US and its allies
is available. The early 2007 leaks, which exposed Israel's plans to use three
nukes against Iran, were quite dangerous for a country in a hostile
environment, but certainly they were deliberate. They meant that the decision
on the character of Israel's activity had already been made, and all that
remained to be done was to influence public opinion accordingly.
The pretext for the operation against Iran does not appear serious. Judging
from both the technical and the political points of view, there is no
possibility of it developing nuclear weapons in the near future.
One must remember that allegations of Iraq's possessing weapons of mass
destruction were used by the US as a pretext for the war against the country.
As a result, Iraq was devastated, and the civilian death toll rose to hundreds
of thousands, but no evidence for the claims had ever been discovered.
The really important question inot whether Iran is capable of making nuclear
weapons. The only function of small stockpiles of nuclear weapons not backed by
various forms of support is that of containment. The threat of a retaliation
strike can stop any aggressor. As for attacking other countries and winning a
nuclear war in the situation of a conflict with a coalition of major powers,
this would require a potential that Iran neither has nor is going to have in
the foreseeable future. The allegations that Iran can become a nuclear
aggressor are absurd. Anyone having at least some theoretical knowledge of
military affairs must understand this.
What is the real reason why the US is unleashing this military conflict?
The activities having consequences of global proportions can only be intended
to deal with a global problem. This problem itself is by no means something
secret - it is the possibility of a crash of the global financial system based
on the US dollar. Currently the mass of US currency exceeds the total worth of
US assets by more than a factor of ten. Everything in the US - industry,
buildings, high-tech, and so on - has been mortgaged more than ten times all
over the world. A debt of such proportions will never be repaid - it can only
be relieved.
The dollar amounts on the accounts of individuals, organizations, and state
treasuries are a virtual reality. These records are not secured by products,
valuables or anything that exists in reality.
Writing-off this US indebtedness to the rest of the world would turn the
majority of its population into deceived depositors. It would be the end of the
well-established rule of the golden calf. The significance of the coming events
is truly epic. This is why the aggressor ignores the global catastrophic
consequences of its offensive. The bankrupt 'global bankers' need a force major
event of global proportions to get out of the situation.
The solution is already in the plans. The US has nothing to offer the rest of
the world to save the declining dollar except for military operations like the
ones in Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, and Iraq. But even these local conflicts only
yield short-term effects. Something a lot greater is needed, and the need is
urgent. The moment is drawing closer when the financial crisis will make the
world realize that all of the US assets, all of its industrial, technological,
and other potentials do not rightfully belong to the country. Then, it must be
confiscated to compensate the victims, and the rights of ownership of
everything bought for dollars all over the world - everything drawn from the
wealth of various nations - are to be revised.
What might cause the force major event of the required scale? Everything
seems to indicate that Israel will be sacrificed. Its involvement in a war with
Iran - especially in a nuclear war - is bound to trigger a global catastrophe.
The statehoods of Israel and Iran are based on the countries' official
religions. A military conflict between Israel and Iran will immediately evolve
into a religious one, a conflict between Judaism and Islam. Due to the presence
of numerous Jewish and Muslim populations in the developed countries, this
would make a global bloodbath inevitable. All of the active forces of most of
the countries of the world would end up fighting, with almost no room for
neutrality left. Judging by the increasingly massive acquisitions of the
residential housing for the Israeli citizens, especially in Russia and Ukraine,
a lot of people already have an idea of what the future holds. However, it is
hard to imagine a quiet heaven where one might hide from the
coming doom. Forecasts of the territorial distribution of the fighting, the
quantities and the efficiency of the armaments involved, the profound character
of the underlying roots of the conflict and the severity of the religious
strife all leave no doubt that this clash will be in all respects much more
nightmarish than WWII.
So far, the response of the world's major political players to the
developments gives no cause for optimism. The inconsequent UN resolutions
concerning Iran, the attempts to appease the aggressor who no longer disguises
his intentions are reminiscent of the Munich Pact on the eve of WWII. The
intense shuttle diplomacy focusing on all sorts of international problems
except for the main one discussed above is also indicative of the problem. This
is a usual practice on the eve of a war, aiming to provide for alliances with
third-party countries or to ensure their neutrality. Such politics seeks to
avert or soften the first strikes, which would be the most sudden and
devastating ones.
Is it possible to prevent the bloodshed?
The only efficient argument that might stop the aggressors is the threat of
their total global isolation for instigating a nuclear war. The implementation
of the scenario described above can be made impossible by a complete absence of
allies for the US-Israeli tandem, combined with loud public protests in the
countries. Therefore, these days a definite and uncompromising stance of
country leaders, governments, politicians, public figures, religious leaders,
scientists, and artists with respect to the prepared nuclear aggression would
be an invaluable service to mankind.
The coordinated public activities must be organized with the promptness
adequate to the war-time conditions. The forces of aggression have already been
amassed and concentrated at the starting positions in the state of full combat
readiness. The US military do not make it a secret that everything can be a
matter of weeks or even days. There are indirect indications that the US will
launch a nuclear strike on Iran already in April, 2007. After the very first
nuclear blast, mankind will find itself in an entirely new world, an absolutely
inhumane one. The chances to prevent this outcome must be used completely.
General Leonid Ivashov is the vice-president of the Academy on geopolitical
affairs. He was the chief of the department for General affairs in the Soviet
Union?s ministry of Defense, secretary of the Council of defense ministers of
the Community of independant states (CIS), chief of the Military cooperation
department at the Russian federation?s Ministry of defense and Joint chief of
staff of the Russian armies. General Ivashof is a frequent contributor to
Global Research.
Global Research Articles by Leonid Ivashov
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© Copyright Leonid Ivashov , Strategic Culture Foundation , 2007
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