[AZ-Observing] Re: WARNING--Sentinel Road Closed

On Fri, 8 Feb 2002 11:20:12 -0700 , jack.jones@xxxxxxxxxxxxx wrote:

> ROTFL to your LOL!  Now is it 8 miles or 3 miles in? Conflicting emails!
> I've NEVER been there, and we may prob arrive in early twilight. Also,
> anybody have coords for the GOTOs?

The 3 miles is the difference from where the Leonids were observed from,
for those who used this site then.  It's 8 miles from the freeway (exit
45).  I suspect those who needed this info are already there.  Those
planning on tonight better expect a windy session.  See the forecast
discussion below.

The winds had been expected for the past couple of days, they just arrived
later than earlier predictions.  So those who went out Friday night might
have had a good might.

        -Paul



From http://www.phx.noaa.gov/data/phxafdpsr.html:

FXUS65 KPSR 091011
AFDPSR
AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-091745-

SOUTHWEST ARIZONA/SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
310 AM MST SAT FEB 9 2002

.SYNOPSIS...
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR THIS WEEKEND...BEHIND A 
COLD FRONT THAT MOVED SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA 
LAST NIGHT. THIS COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN COOLER WEATHER TODAY. 
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE DRY WEATHER WITH MOSTLY CLEAR 
NIGHTS AND SUNNY DAYS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. IT WILL BE WARMER 
SUNDAY...AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY...AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT MOVES 
EAST OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. A PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN SOME CLOUDS WITH TEMPERATURES 
DROPPING BACK WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
 
.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST APPEARS TO BE A DRY ONE FOR OUR AREA THRU THE NEXT 7 
DAYS...WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO DOMINATE THROUGH TUESDAY...THEN WEAKEN 
AS A WEAK PACIFIC LOW RAPIDLY MOVES ACROSS THE STATE...BRINGING ONLY 
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO OUR AREA. BIG ISSUE WILL BE WIND...FOR TODAY 
THRU SUNDAY. FLOW PATTERN RATHER HI AMPLITUDE ATTM WITH A STRONG 
RIDGE DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN STATES WHILE A DEEP COLD TROF 
SETTLES IN OVER THE CNTRL UNITED STATES. ASSOCD COLD FRONT WITH THE 
TROF DIVING SOUTH INTO THE FAR SCNTRL U.S. WITH STRONG NLY/NWLY FLOW 
SETTING UP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROF ACRS AZ. ALSO...SHARP RIDGE 
INDUCING A STRONG SURFACE HIGH TO DEVELOP TO OUR NORTH...SETTING UP 
A STRONG N-S SURFACE GRADIENT WHICH IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN PLACE 
OVER AZ NEXT 48 HOURS. ALL THIS ADDS UP TO A WINDY SCENARIO...WITH 
THE STRONGEST WINDS LIKELY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND ALONG 
THE LOWER CO RIVER. SHOULD BE BREEZY TO WINDY CWA WIDE TODAY THRU 
SUNDA...WITH N TO NE WINDS FROM 15 TO 30 MPH...GUSTING TO NEAR 40 
MPH AT TIMES. WILL CONTINUE THE WIND ADVISORY FOR JOSHUA TREE NP 
ZONE 30 TODAY...EVEN THO WINDS HAVE NOT MET THE CRITERIA SO FAR ON 
THIS SHIFT...BUT EXPECT THE WINDS TO PICK UP SHARPLY AS THE MORNING 
PROGRESSES. WILL HOLD OFF FOR THE MOMENT AND NOT ISSUE AN ADVY FOR 
THE LOWER CO RIVER...BUT WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THINGS...AS BLH HAS 
ALREADY HAD N WIND GUSTS TO 34KTS...MAY NEED TO PUT THE ADVY OUT FOR 
THAT AREA BEFORE END OF THIS SHIFT. OTHERWISE...AMS VERY DRY AND 
GENLY CLEAR SKIES WILL HOLD THRU MONDAY. TEMPS TO BE A HANDFUL OF 
DEGREES COOLER TODAY...GIVEN THE COLD ADVECTION TAKING PLACE...BUT 
WE SHOULD SEE A BIT OF WARMING SUN...AND MORE WARMING THEN MON AND 
TUE WITH DESERT HIGHS TO REACH TO AROUND 80 IN SPOTS BY MON. RIDGE 
WEAKENS A BIT TUE...THO AMS STAYS DRY...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TO 
HOLD. WEAK SHORT WAVE ZIPS ACROSS THE STATE MAINLY IN THE THU TIME 
FRAME...BRINGING JUST PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO OUR AREA ALONG WITH A 
BIT OF COOLING. THIS COVERED FINE IN CURRENT EXTENDED...AND WILL 
LEAVE THE BROAD BRUSH FORECAST ALONE FOR NOW.  11

.PSR...WIND ADVISORY FOR JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK TODAY.
       FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AND
       HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA TODAY.

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