[AZ-Observing] Re: Spring weather prospects

Brian Skiff wrote:

>     Now that I can post again to this list (a problem at our end):
>
>  
>
>>> I assume, then, that it means we have only three months...
>>> before we get into the next round of rainy weather - the Monsoon.
>>>      
>>>
>
>     If you look at the maps I cited, you'll see that the prospects are
>for "normal" precip for the rest of the year, or the climate-modelling odds
>don't lean much either way at least.  What is more certain is that temps
>are very likely to be above normal for the rest of the year.
>
>  
>
Yes, I did look at the layman writeup of the long outlook. It said 
normal (or something to that effect) weather after March, but even with 
so called "normal precip" Arizona does have a monsoon season.  I doubt 
one can say at this time what kind of monsoon we will have this year 
with high confidence even with a forecast of "normal precip". There have 
been wet ones and there have been dry ones in years that are more 
"normal" than the one we are experiencing now. At  this point in time 
the weather forecasts are just that, forecasts, not estimates of some 
fixed and static quantity.
Stan




--
See message header for info on list archives or unsubscribing, and please 
send personal replies to the author, not the list.

Other related posts: