FreeLists / az-observing / [AZ-Observing] Re: The Weather.....

["Marshall Dailey" <msd60@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>]

Looks pretty good west at the moment and probably will tonight... I'm
optimistic and I still think KOFA is lookin good..,.

Marshall

-----Original Message-----
From: az-observing-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:az-observing-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]On Behalf Of brett watson
Sent: Saturday, November 17, 2001 12:35 PM
To: az-observing@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: [AZ-Observing] Re: The Weather.....



grrrr.  the synopsis from the noaa makes it sound like the entire western
half of the state is going to have murky, high clouds.

FXUS65 KPSR 171635
                           AFDPSR
                           AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-172245-

                           SOUTHWEST ARIZONA/SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA FORECAST
DISCUSSION
                           NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
                           935 AM MST SAT NOV 17 2001

                           .SYNOPSIS...
                           HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE AREA
THIS WEEKEND WHILE
                           WEAK WEATHER SYSTEMS MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND
                           ACROSS NORTHWEST MEXICO. THE AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN
                           SOMEWHAT EARLY NEXT WEEK. WARMEST DAYTIME HIGHS
WILL OCCUR THIS
                           WEEKEND...BUT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.
                           OTHERWISE...EXPECT PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS AND NO
PRECIPITATION
                           THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY.

                           .DISCUSSION...
                           UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE CONTS TO
DOMINATE THE WEATHER FOR
                           THE DESERT SW...GIVING DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM
CONDITIONS TO THE
                           GRAND CANYON STATE AND THE PHX CWA. NO
CONSEQUENTIAL CHANGES TO THIS
                           PATTERN ARE IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS AT LEAST. WEAK LOW
                           PRESSURE TROF NOW PUSHING THROUGH THE
RIDGE...AND COMING THRU IN 2
                           PARTS. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT CHUNK OF ENERGY IS
NOW MOVING THRU THE
                           PAC NW...RIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE...WITH
ONLY 30-50M H5 HGT
                           FALLS NOTED ON THE 12Z PLOTS. A WEAKER LOW...OFF
THE SRN BAJA COAST
                           AND WEST OF 120W...IS SLOWLY PUSHING EAST AND
SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF
                           THE STATE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS
WEAKER SRN LOW HAS BEEN
                           SPREADING VRBL AMOUNTS OF MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS UP
AHEAD OF IT...AND
                           THIS BAND OF CLOUDS EXTENDS ALL THE WAY UP INTO
THE PAC NW...MERGING
                           WITH THE CLOUDINESS ASSOCD WITH THE PAC NW LOW.
LATEST ETA AND NGM
                           CONTINUE THE TREND OF PUSHING THIS HIGH CLOUD
BAND THRU THE STATE
                           STARTING LATER TODAY...WITH THE MAIN CLOUDINESS
TO BE OVER OUR CWA
                           TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY CLEARING FROM THE WEST
SUNDAY WITH SKIES TO
                           BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY. 12Z RUNS KEEP MOST OF THE
THICKER CLOUDINESS
                           SOUTH OF THE STATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND
THERE MAY NOT BE ENOUGH
                           CLOUDS AROUND TONIGHT TO KEEP THE MIN
TEMPERATURES UP MUCH. H3
                           ISOTACH FORECAST FROM THE ETA KEEP THE JET CORES
ASSOCD WITH BOTH
                           LOWS WELL NORTH...AND SOUTH...OF AZ...AND THUS
DO NOT EXPECT MUCH
                           UPPER FORCING TO OCCUR OVER THE STATE TONIGHT.
WITH LITTLE
                           DYNAMICS...HIGH CLOUD BAND WILL PROBABLY COME
ACROSS RATHER BROKEN
                           UP WITH LOTS OF THIN SPOTS. HGTS NOT ADVERTISED
TO CHANGE MUCH THRU
                           THE WEEKEND...WITH H5 HGTS FOR PHX TO BE AROUND
579 TODAY THRU
                           MONDAY. THUS TEMPS WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH...AND
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL
                           WITH READINGS LIKELY TO BE IN THE LOW 80S MANY
PLACES. BOTTOM
                           LINE...SHOULD SEE INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS FROM
THE WEST TODAY...WITH
                           PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES LIKELY TONIGHT...AND SKIES
WILL BECOME MOSTLY
                           SUNNY DURING THE DAY SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES LIKELY TO
                           CONTINUE THRU MONDAY AT LEAST. CURRENT FORECASTS
ARE FINE AND NO
                           UPDATES ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME.  11

--On Saturday, November 17, 2001 11:02 AM -0700 Wil Milan
<wmilan@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:

> http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/Tucson/gfe/gfe_main.shtml


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