FreeLists / az-observing / [AZ-Observing] Re: Latest Forecast Guess For Saturday Night

[Stan Gorodenski <stanlep@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>]

Throughout the day I have been checking the NOAA web site and Prescott
has remained a favorable location for the Leonids.  As of 3:45 pm, the
forecasts below show Tucson now emerging as the only other area (of the
ones I checked) as an observing location as favorable as Prescott -
based on the scant amount of verbiage presented.  Even Flagstaff does
not appear to be favorable as Prescott.  

This is the last note I will send on this subject.  Anyone who has
access to email should be able to access the NOAA web site.  The address
is www.phx.noaa.gov.  Chose the 'Original' version and then select the
towns or cities for which you want a forecast.  Others may feel other
web sites are better, and that may be true, but I have been satisfied
with this one.  As an example, a year or two ago I was planning for the
a weekend and based my decisions on another site that 'seemed' better,
but it was not.  NOAA was more in sink with what was happening in
Arizona.  

It may be that Prescott being favorable is a discrepancy in the NOAA web
site.  However, Prescott has remained favorable since last night, during
the day, and now.  This, of course, does not prove it is _not_ a
discrepancy.  We could debate these forecasts and compare them to
others, but time (or should I say space-time?  Speaking of this, did
anyone notice a recent news article in S&T where they stated that there
is evidence for a change in physical laws over time?  Since we should be
talking about space-time, not time, is this necessarily a surprise?) is
the true test.  As we approach Saturday night the forecasts should
become more accurate and things may change drastically for the Prescott
area (I might even be observing the Leonids in a foot of snow). 

Stan 

Forecast for Yuma:
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO NEAR 60.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S.

Forecast for Tucson:
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
.SUNDAY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.

Forecast for Quartzite:
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S.

Forecast for Phoenix:
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50 OUTLYING AREAS TO NEAR
60 AT SKY HARBOR.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S AT CAREFREE TO NEAR 80
AT SKY HARBOR.

Forecast for Prescott:
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 27 TO 37.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 62 TO 68.

Forecast for Flastaff:
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 28.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 54 TO 60.
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